PT - JOURNAL ARTICLE AU - Bala G Arshanapalli AU - Edmond L D'Ouville AU - William B Nelson TI - Are Size, Value, and Momentum Related to Recession Risk? AID - 10.3905/joi.2004.450760 DP - 2004 Nov 30 TA - The Journal of Investing PG - 83--87 VI - 13 IP - 4 4099 - https://pm-research.com/content/13/4/83.short 4100 - https://pm-research.com/content/13/4/83.full AB - The purpose of this study is to demonstrate that a good risk model should account for ever-changing macroeconomic risks. An increase in the time-varying variances of HML and UMD in response to an increased likelihood of a future downturn lends support to the inclusion of these risks in the formation of portfolios.