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Abstract
Do stocks always beat bonds? Do stocks necessarily beat inflation by 6%–7% over long periods? Data from select foreign markets and pre-1926 U.S. markets call these shibboleths into question. Better to regard stocks as always a risky investment, independent of holding period, and regardless of immediate prior returns. Thus, buying after stocks have declined by 40% is no panacea. And, severe declines in excess of 40% are more common than with conventional asset allocation models, as the halcyon decades following the Depression might suggest.
TOPICS: Portfolio management/multi-asset allocation, performance measurement, volatility measures
- © 2009 Pageant Media Ltd
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